DISCLAIMER: THIS IS A PERSONAL WEBLOG, REFLECTING MY PERSONAL VIEWS. ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED HERE ARE TO SHARE ONLY.THE AUTHOR SHOULD NOT BE HELD LIABLE FOR ANY INFORMATION ERRORS, INCOMPLETENESS, OR DELAYS, OR FOR ANY ACTIONS TAKEN IN RELIANCE ON INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.

Monday, February 25, 2019

Last Prayer?

feels like my soul has left me...i have no emotion nor happiness. i don't feel myself anymore. sometimes i wonder why i am put to this test. i hope i have paid off all my sins from the past and the current present for im not sure how long i can last.



i feel like giving up everything as i am so tired as all i wanted was everything to be fine around me. but nothing seems to get any better and i am constantly the target. i also hoped that i have served the purpose of my presence to others. if my presence is to make others happy but i suffer for that, so be it for i really don't know how much longer i can stay sane. so be it. if that can make things better, so be it. i have no other solution anymore and my condition is getting worse. I just weep silently inside where nobody knows but put up a strong character. sometimes i do wish to reach out but when i do, i become the target eventually. hence, everything stays inside.



i tried very hard, but nobody knows. maybe it's not enuf but i dont have any more strength. im tired and stressed out every single day. im sinking into a further depression where people sees it as im cutting a forlong face but deep inside me, i think im sinking further from my depression. im really about to explode. sometimes i do ask, what is my purpose here. what have i done so bad that i deserve this. sometimes i pray that if my presence is not wanted/needed, lord, please take me with u. as much as my tears are rolling down as i write this, but im really can't feel myself anymore.

lord, i have tried. but i dont know if i did it right the way u wanted it to be. somehow, i always felt it was a one way traffic. when i reach out, im never heard. lord, u created me and u know that i don't publicly pen down my sorrows in a public reached media, but this is my last resort to be heard for open discussions are never working no matter how i tried. For in the end, the fault is always to be mine. hence, the dead silence that was kept all these while. i was never heard. for i cant be heard. im going crazy by the days and that is really sapping into my life and my health. i don't have anyone who will support me when i'm in trouble. Everyone just wants a piece of me for themselves and doesn't bother about how i truly feel or going through. People say voicing out is a good way for communication. sometimes i feel that is just utter bullshit as it only works if the other parties would love to listen and care about your problems. if they are just thinking for themselves, to them it's just excuses. somehow, lord, i failed in that. i failed getting support that i need. and im very tired and saddened especially with my depression state.

lord, if u have any mercy on me, please...take me with u. forgive me for all my sins i may have caused. then, now and in future. if taking my life can give others happiness, then i surrender everything to u lord. u decide for me. 

Monday, May 14, 2018

The Aftermath Of A Historical General Election



For those who doesn't know, Malaysia just had the 14th General Elections and created history where the opposition party Pakatan Harapan defeated a 6 decade rule of the previous ruling party Barisan Nasional. This is the first time in history that the opposition party won and takes over the government. It was really intense. We know that alot of people voted for change and change it was.

However, being a full time trader and investor, we know that whichever party wins, it doesn't matter as we can earn both ways (up or down). We already had our expectations on what to do today on the 14th May 2018. Therefore, we are covered on what to do during today's trading sessions and my students raked in extremely great profits today regardless on who is currently in power. We already knew and we reacted to the market's movement once it opened today and because of that, the impact did not really make any  on us traders and investors. Even before today, we were discussing that the Malaysian market may not drop as bad as what people elaborated to be and in fact sprung up strongly and closed higher compared to last week. Hence, this is an indication of confidence to the current new government. 

Now, i'm not going to write about politics or the market or even charts but what i would really like to stress on in this post is on the attitude of the people towards both pre and post elections aftermath. We Malaysians have forgotten we are still MALAYSIANS no matter which party we support. Family members, friends, relatives and so on may have different views from each other on politics but after a while, the routine in your circle will continue despite whoever is in power now. I've seen friends and families get into heated arguments due to different opinions in politics just to feed each other's ego on who is wrong and who is right. I find that totally sad and very childish like. Hence, here's my take to both groups of supporters:

For the BN supporters:

STOP being sore losers and cry babies and continuously want to find faults and find arguments with those who supported PH. I totally feel that is just so childish. Feels like seeing a bunch of kids who lost and then try to make themselves look like they are so right on the previous government. Like what was mentioned earlier, everyone has their own point of view and we are all still Malaysians regardless of any political party we support. NOBODY is less of a Malaysian if one supports the opposition or more of a Malaysian if they support BN. So, I believe it would be better if you guys just stop being such sore loser and accept the fact that the new government had been formed and move on with life. This is a democratic country. Therefore it would be best if you guys stop with the "hang pi tanya gomen baru engkau yang bangang tu lah apasal minyak tak turun" coz seriously by saying this, nothing will change and only separates us as Malaysians or make families and friends separate.

For the PH supporters:

You guys too need to stop getting your ego inflated until to the extent of making fun and cursing those who supported BN. Just as mentioned above, they are just as Malaysian as you are. All is done and PH had already won and that's the fact now but there is no need of making fun of those who lost. So keep your pants up and move along with life too whatever it is. As the saying goes, "don't ask what the country can do for you but do ask what can you do for the country". So even that your current party had won the elections, you won't be any better than those who supported BN if you don't do anything to help yourself and your country. So just keep it down and let the new government do their jobs.

The reason for this post is i felt so sickening of all the UNNECESSARY name callings, finger pointing and shift blaming as we all should work as a team and create peace among each other only then we will strive to be a better nation comparable to big developed countries. Some say it is a dream that PH won, but to me, there is still ALOT to be done before we can declare ourselves comparable to other developed nations. Afterall, every 5 years, we can choose again if all isn't well.

Let's build this nation peacefully as one big team.

Monday, June 29, 2015

Why not getting it for free?



Well, people must be wondering what does that mean or would probably challenge it as there is a saying "there is no free lunch" in this world. However, it is true that there is NO FREE LUNCH in this world as if you "take" something from someone, you are expected to give something back.

What i meant was not this as it is true we have to work hard and smart to achieve our goals. This context came to my mind when i had a good friend talking to me about purchasing a car (yes, a liability). 

It was a typical Sunday and i was just too lazy to go anywhere except to stay infront of my computer and read up on investing and motivational articles (yes, some would say it's a boring life i have). To me, i find it pretty cool reading these stuff as it builds character and knowledge in a person. Weird? Yeah maybe i am weird but that's what life is, gotta put some elbow grease before you can relax. Now, back to my conversation with my friend about purchasing a car, and not just any car, about purchasing a luxury car. Well, i normally will frown when people talk about this but being sociable, i just played along. 

"Bro, do you know there is a roadshow on the Mercedes and BMW in the Mall today? Don't you want to have a look?", my friend screamed in delight. I paused my "i7 quad core brain" for literally 3 seconds to think of an answer. I guess it's everyone's dream to posses one of these cars as it makes you "feel good" that one can probably show to other people that they are rich. To be fair, i used to like these too but that is out of the system now as i guess my taste for cars have changed dramatically when the new Tesla S is out. 

Ok, but that's beyond the point i'm trying to tell. So, i answered my friend on his question, "nah, i'm no longer interested in fuel burning cars", just to play along to my friend's topic. I'm not too sure if my friend caught the jist of my answer but what my meaning actually was requires several folds of thinking. In short, the Tesla S is currently available in several countries and is making it's way to Malaysia BUT, it is sais that it is going to be given a two year "trial" for the govt and bif VVIP's before they consider about  gettinf it sold in Malaysia. Not to mention the infrastructure that needs to be built like the Tesla "super charging" stations all along the way and etc etc. i believe by the time Tesla S would be in the Malaysian market would come in another 4 years MINIMUM. 

So what's the jist of this? My friend knew too that it will take a while for that car to be sold in Malaysia (if ever successfully accepted). And so he answered, "bro, that's gonna take such a long time more, where can??" (With the Malaysian english  style). I answered, "WHY NOT? What do i have to prove that i need to purchase a beemer or a merc NOW? I want it for FREE". My friend laughed, well, i don't blame him though. So again, what's the jist to my answer?

In conclusion, it's actually very simple if one were to put their minds to it. Yes, Tesla S will take a while to be in the Malaysian market which is perfect for me. So, whatever time it needs to take for it to be in the Malaysian market, gives me time to look for further business OR investment which in turn, with god's blessings, generates more money for me. So, my goal is simple, i want my Tesla S to be provided "FREE" through my investments or business. I am NOT taking out a single cent that is from my savings or borrow money that i don't have to purchase it as, like any other car, it's just another liability. 

I'm not sure my friend got the jist to my answer but actually, given a little thought, it's not difficult to figure it out. Yes, nothing is free in this world and i do know of people who wants to live in that "luxurious" lifestyle and show the entire world through social media on how good their life is, but in actual fact, they can't even provide meals for their families at home while depending on sucking up other people's money by creating all sorts of mishaps. Yes nothing is free and money is hard to come by as it requires alot of hardwork and discipline but you can still get things for "free" if you put your mind and money to work for you, for free...


Monday, November 3, 2014

Raging bulls on both sides....

FCPO

Picture 1, was what I forecasted on 23rd October 2014 that the market would move upwards for the coming weeks. With a beautiful wave and at that time forming the C wave, I targetted it to reach 2293 at that time.
Picture 1



Picture 2, shows that my forecasted target had achieved on the next week after Picture 1 was done. Hence, BINGO! :). It closed even further and closed above 2300 which is poised to give bulls the cutting edge now.
Picture 2


Let's not forget about Soy Bean Oil, Picture 3. As we can see that Soy Bean had also had a big drop and it has been sideways for a while consolidating and had a big break out last week. Nearest target should be 36.57. Breaking that would be all the way to the next target 39.85 and etc etc.

Picture 3



Picture 4, shows that bulls hare going crazy after the last big drop and it has probably taken control now. Breaking 61.8% or 1845 level and now turning it to a support, shorters will definitely be fried for lunch like KFC chicken if they are not careful.

Picture 4


Left off posting anything here for a while. Really had some shifts in the market and we had big swings too.

Anyway, good luck and trade at your own discretion is always the best! :)


Saturday, May 31, 2014

Similarities? You decide...

US CBOT Soy Beans

FCPO

I'll be focusing on FCPO more often as it has a better trend pattern than FKLI and also frankly, kinda caught up with work so won't analyze FKLI so much. 

Today's post is gonna be real short. My question here is simple, do you see the similarities? 

So, you decide and plan your strategy. :)

Good luck.

Monday, May 19, 2014

Do I "Play" the market



This was an interesting question I had over the weekend when I was in Genting relaxing with my better half. "Oh u PLAY the market?". I had to pause a short 2-3 seconds to fire up my "intel quad core" brain to search for an answer. Well, of coz, I had to look up deep for a diplomatic answer. After all, he was a friend of mine. 

So my answer was very simple and I answered; "I don't play the market, I trade in the market". It may seem like a vocabulary lesson here but as they say, "what comes out from the mouth is a process of the mind." I've witness people, they think of the market as a "get-rich-quick-no brainer-field" and their "jobs" are the "serious" thing that their doing. To a certain extent, yes, their "jobs" are still their main source of income and they should be serious in everything they do there. However, that doesn't mean the stock/commodities/forex/Bonds/futures and etc markets are a place of "fun". Well, maybe to some people who does this for a "hobby" or fun but 99% of the people in there are just as or more serious than what they are doing.

This is extremely true because I've witness people who thinks he/she can get rich when they enter the market right away..and when they don't make it (which they will most definitely will not make it) start cursing about the market saying it's dangerous, it's risky and the public favorite, it's gambling. My question to them, how long did u study in the university to be an entry point engineer? How long did u study before you became an entry point IT consultant? How long did u study to become an entry level doctor? 3-7 years (maybe 7 for medicine field). And you expect to "make it big" in the market after some so-called book that you read or just a weekend seminar? I'd say you're better off going to casinos then. The thrill is higher there. 

Many people don't realize that it's not the market that is risky. It's the person himself/herself that is risky. Doing something without the knowledge is crazy and definitely at the highest risk one could ever be in. Every trade I make in the market, is a series of calculated risk and reward ratio at the highest level of seriousness I can ever be. It's like me in a relationship, I definitely don't play around in a relationship as I'm serious right to the end.

Hopefully all that, I hope I did answer my friends question. 

Monday, May 5, 2014

Divergences Alert!..But there's still room for the current movement..

Well, simply put it, it had been rough sideways trades for both markets last 1-2 weeks. With issues on Ukraine war tensions and also the crops for Soy Beans are expected to increase with dry spell weather, it had made the market eratic and jumpy, trading on a difficult sideways range. Nevertheless, as we all know that after a sideways movement, a trend will follow..but which one? Let us take a look at these markets:


FCPO


FCPO had been in a downtrend since 11 Mar 2014 and started to do a crazy sideways range trading on 9th April 2014. Nevertheless, there might be a possible bullish divergence forming but has to let the price press down further before the full bullish divergence is formed. As we can see from the chart, prices are dropping while the MACD-H may have shallower curve. The red circle indicates that the 2nd downward curve has yet to be formed and hence it is quite likely that the FCPO may head southwards towards stronger supports at 2535-2540 and also 2490-2500. Stochastics had been heading downwards eversince 29th April 2014 and a gap down on 2nd May 2014 had gave the bears the power. Fibonacci 50% level is at 2526-2530 which can also provide a critical support level before it heads for the 61.8% level at 2434. Candlesticks are still below 12,22,32 EMA and no crossings of the EMA lines had taken place which means the selling pressure ought to continue for a fair bit of time more. 


FKLI


As mentioned earlier, Ukraine tensions had made it a priority in markets beating upbeat job data last week in the USA. The historical high at 1877 is still left uncontested and it seems that 1871.5 is the highest it could go. Candlestick pattern today shows an imminent engulfment that erased all gains from the previous 4 days and  Adding to that, there is a clear bearish divergence between price, MACD-H and Stochastics. However, since it did a pretty big drop today, there may be some rebound first in the morning and then later on continue with the trend.

Personal View:

FCPO: The market may resume the bears a little while more before any bullish divergences may show. Hence, there may still be room for shorting but always have your stops in place. Be ready and alert the market starts to rebound. Place urself full of strategies where u can just switch strategy there and then.

FKLI: I would look for positions to short. Hence, short at strength. 

Monday, April 7, 2014

Time to move back to its opposite direction...

Both markets have been moving at opposite directions either retracing from gains or rebounding from drops. Either way, I believe both markets will be going back to its previous directions and here's why:

FCPO


FCPO had literally erased all its gains that started from Feb 10 2014 but it seems to be bottoming out now from 2600 strong support with a hammer head candle on 3rd Apr 2014 and 4th Apr 2014 showed a pretty convincing likely bottoming out. Stochastics had already turned upwards since 12 Apr 2014 and MACD-H are showing shorter histograms which means prices and movements are ticking upwards. 2691-2700 will be the resistance and breaking that will lead back up to 2917.


FKLI on the other hand takes the other turn as there is a seemingly indication of a bearish divergence in price and MACD-H. With foreign markets which took a slump last Friday 4th Apr 2014, FKLI and KLCI may set to see some retracement. Volume decreases on the rise which also indicates that traders and investors are losing their appetite on the bulls. Stochastic lines have met and is already at a very high point which may indicate an overbought level. Nearest support would be at 1844-1845 and 18477 as its all time high and resistance.

Personal View:

FCPO: There should be some consolidation but 10th Apr 2014 Production and export data is crucial. Hence, expect some roller coaster ride before the trend continues.

FKLI: Be prepared for retracement. There may be a small push first before it consolidates to retrace. 

Wednesday, February 26, 2014

It's a great run guys, gotta close up someday. ;)

Well, the title of this post came from the movie "The Devil's Advocate" where "the devil" told Kevin Lomax (Keanu Reeves) in the toilet on his winning streak that it will break soon. Seems the same way, more for FCPO than FKLI. With the Ringgit firming up, weaker soy bean activity and the very very marginal increase in Feb 1-.25 export data, FCPO is likely to continue south-wards for probably this entire week. Nevertheless, on the overall trend, it's still a a very nice bullish movement. FKLI on the other hand seems to be moving upwards with slight knee jerks movements. Regional markets took a slight retracement yesterday except for Nikkei which went positive by 213 points. Hence, it would more likely be a sideways but upward bias for FKLI

Let's take a look at the charts for the technical analysis part:

FCPO



As mentioned, ringgit firming, very very marginal increase in export data, weaker soy bean activity yesterday. MACD-H is tracking lower and shortening its bars indicating that prices are slowly correcting while MACD lines are flattening and looks likely to curve down. Stochastics had already crossed down with a substantial number of volume and higher open interest which indicates support for the retracement. Candlestick patterns showed lower prices since Monday and yday with a "graveyard doji" like candlestick, shows that prices could follow down further today. Nevertheless, prices had been going on smoothly upwards on the trend line and the bullish trendline is strongly in-tact. 


FKLI


Like FCPO, FKLI's bullish trendline is still strongly in tact. and with higher lows showing from the past 2 weeks, shows that prices have a strong movement upwards. However, there will be short knee jerks where prices will slump lower but that's a good opportunity to buy and hold. Prices are above all EMA's (12,22,32) and is poised to pick up more steam. Yesterday and today shows more volume on a higher price but both of these days but with doji candle patterns which could indicate that traders are waiting for a confirmation, probably in regional market news. Stochastics have retraced and seems to continue upwards and cross back up. MACD lines have crossed up and moved back into the positive region while MACD-H shows a higher bar supporting the bulls.

Personal View

FCPO: For this few days, take shorts on strength. Watch supports at 2700 and 2690 as it could probably retrace to these levels before continuing the bull.

FKLI: Buy on any weaknesses and hold. Follow buys at 12 and 22 EMA. 

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

The opposite directions are in control for now but could they stage a U-Turn?

Now, there are alot of chatter that's going on for the two markets. For the KLCI/FKLI index, ever since the new year of 2014 started, it had been dropping like mad. Some say that it was the "kang kung" govt that wanted to show their "kang kung" power and raised the index to crazy heights which does not make sense. It's only 30 counters and hence, very easily manipulated and as we all know, KLCI and FKLI do move in tandem. Others also said could be the foreign funds pulling out even more. On the other hand, FCPO rebounded after a week or so of bears defying export data's which showed big negative numbers. However, it was clearer for FCPO as USDMYR seems to gain strength and has reached previous high again. Also, reported that there would be leaner production this round which will tighten up stocks. Having said that, some are still remaining cautious as exports don't show a good picture and the speculation of lower RM to increase more purchasing from importing countries.

Nevertheless, let's analyze a little bit on these two markets:


FCPO




The good news is, the bullish trend line is still in tact as can be seen in the chart above. 15th Jan has shown the signal of the rebound. Supporting that, USDMYR had been climbing and now it is at 3.316, which was a previous high. Indicators are also showing positive bull movements. Stochastics has crossed up from its low while MACD-H shortens higher. MACD-H and price shows a bullish divergence which means the bulls are ready to push prices higher. MACD lines are curving upwards but has not crossed its signal line. Candlesticks for today are above 12EMA and 12EMA has a curved upwards line which is an indication of bullish powers has return. Having said that, export data for Jan 1-20 was down by 15% and hence, capped down any further bulls for the moment but it is believed that with the weaker ringgit, demand will be more.


FKLI



FKLI on the other hand shows a different direction. It has broken a trend line and as mentioned earlier, dipping since after New Year 2014. With stochastics still crossing down and also MACD lines and MACD-H are still below water. However, today's candle shows a doji sign which marks the market is indecisive on the movement as it has tested 1800, a strong support. Nearest support levels are 1800 and 1786. Today's candle showing that doji may or may not indicate a rebound. It will depend on the fundamentals now. Coming from several days of drop, at current price seems to be the logical current price that makes sense. That is why, maybe there would be a rebound from here. However, candlesticks are trading below all 12,22 and 32EMA. 

Personal View: 

FCPO: 3 days of high bull gaps may attract some retracement. 15-20 points retracement would be a good spot for long positions.

FKLI: Indecisive. Wait for confirmation on next trading day. If there are no signs of recovery, go short on any strength but by candlestick pattern, there should be a rebound

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

One up, one down. But which one?

Actually, it's very obvious which one is most likely (but never 100%) to move in the expected direction. Nevertheless, to profit from this, still boils down to ones strategy and how well their money and emotion management is. People tend to focus on a definite answer about the market but they have forgotten the basis of what the market is..and that is the market is an extremely big collective pool of people. Now, when there are so many people involved, this means the more emotions there will be in the market. Like George Soros once said, "It's not about whether you are right or wrong, it's how much you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong". Brilliant words from one of the world's best traders. There is no "holy grail" strategy that will fit for all, it's more on what will one do when the market moves in a certain way.

Let's take a look at the two futures market in bursa:


FCPO




FCPO had a series of bad fundamentals which spells from strengthening of the ringgit right up to export data. With the ringgit strengthening and also Soy Bean oil going down, due to increasing supply and lower demand, FCPO tracked that and dented any bullish hopes in it. Adding that for Jan 1-10 exports fell 21% and with a surprise increase of stocks of 0.3% had hampered down FCPO price further. On the technical side, as we can see that FCPO had turned and fullfilled the bearish divergence between price and MACD-H. Prices are now trading way below all levels of EMA (12,22,32) and sticking to the lower band in the Bollinger Band. MACD lines have also tracked lower highs all the way which also shows a bearish divergence between MACD lines and also price. MACD lines had both crossed the 0 line and is at the negative region showing bears are currently in power which had been the case for the past week or so.


FKLI


It had been said that this year even with the foreign funds pulling out from the market, it's still going to be a good year for the equity market. ESPECIALLY index counters. Which in turn would direct FKLI movement too. With gold also gaining into highs, it had spurred Asian markets regionally to rise and in turn gave more boost to our KLCI and FKLI. Although with the GST coming in which actually is suffering for the rakyat but it is seen as a revenue for the markets as the index counters are always backed by the govt. It is also seen to have a "oversold" bounce back from the previous week's correction. This week there will be major companies in USA reporting on their earnings and hence, this will definitely move the market. With Intel and Microsoft being one of the many companies that reported positive earnings, FKLI is set to move further upwards. On the technical side, as we can see that FKLI is still trading within the uptrend line. MACD-H showing shallower histograms which is ticking upwards and also stochastics have also crossed upwards after several zig zags at its low. Notice a small candlestick pattern of a hammer on 7th Jan 2014, had actually given the signal that FKLI is ready to make a U-Turn upwards although there might be some selling activities but it's still on an upward movement. With the long green bodied candle on 13th Jan 2014, FKLI has shown that the bulls have returned and is set to make further upward movements. Although candlesticks are trading below 12 and 22 EMA, both these two EMA's have not crossed down which means that it was just a mere correction which happened last week.

Personal View:
FCPO: There might be some rebound movements but with FCPO closing below 2500 on Monday, bears will take over and hence it's best to sell on strength and follow the trend. 

FKLI: Look for supports and buy on weaknesses. 

Wednesday, January 1, 2014

2014, a brand new year for the markets, or is it?

The new year of 2014 has kicked in and it's been a great run for 2013. Both KLCI and FKLI recorded historical highs and from technical point of view, seems to stage more bullish moves in 2014. There are many worries for 2014-2015 as some  say the recession will hit at the last quarter of 2014 which spells the worst recession in the history of mankind. With stimulus still on going, although reduced by 10b, many still take this as a high risk move as govt debts are still at large and seemingly increasing.

On the other hand, USDMYR had a "end-of-the-year" push reaching 3.3x which gave FCPO a bullish move. Adding that this month is the month of the Chinese Lunar New Year may spur more imports from China which in turn could improve exports and also reduce stocks. Nevertheless, 2014 eve was defiant on its fundamentals probably due to rumors on increase exports for Jan 2014. Weather concerns may play a smaller roll now as during the start of the year, rains start to diminish and stocks will increase. 

Nevertheless, lets take a look at the charts for both of these markets technically wise.

FCPO


FCPO had a crazy volatile movement at the last month of 2013. However, the last  day of 2013 (31st Dec 2013) showed some buying power storming up FCPO to 2659 at the end of day. Both MACD-H and MACD lines show positive bullish turns as MACD-H has ticked up to the positive region indicating prices are on the bullish side. MACD lines have crossed upwards from its signal line indicating the bulls have taken over. Stochastics have shown a steady climb and poised to test its resistance at 90. Thin volume was at the last few days of Dec but on the 31st Dec 2013, there was a higher volume indicating that probably the bulls are preparing to push on in 2014 and in line with the Chinese Lunar New Year. The long white candle on 31st Dec 2013 shows engulfments of the 3 candles the day before which could spell strong bullish movements for the coming days. Candlestick stays way above all levels (12,22 and 32) EMA showing that the bull trend is still in tact.

FKLI



FKLI also show strong movements for the past few days. Probably due to good regional news on Jobs data, the minimum taper of the stimulus and most importantly the window dressing that occurs end of the year has took a boost for FKLI and KLCI. However, MACD-H may form a bearish divergence as prices are rising against a lower MACD-H curve. Having said that, MACD lines show otherwise and is still on a bullish move as the MACD average lines have moved upwards from its signal line. Stochastics showing that it had reached its resistance of 90 and a lower volume on the rise may detriment the bull move further as lesser participants are actually going for the bulls. However, thin volume due to the holidays could be the reason why too and may not be of impact on the movement. Candlesticks are trading strongly above all EMA levels (12,22 and 32) showing that it still has strength to push on but may retrace a little before continuing the bull as it has been flirting around its channel top band.

Personal View:

FCPO: Buy on weakness but if movements are weak or sideways, take quick intraday shorts with quick cut losses
FKLI: Plot supports and take longs there as there are most likely be retracements from strong resistances. However, if prices have hit strong resistances, prepare for some retracements and for those who are in line with their risk management, intraday shorts can be implemented.




HAPPY NEW YEAR AND MAY EVERYONE BE PROFITABLE! 

Sunday, December 22, 2013

What's for the coming week for both markets?

Both markets FCPO and FKLI on the long run is still on the bullish side. It all depends on how you strategize your trades for this month. It's always known that the december month is tough because of thin volume which allows the market to be easily volatile. No matter what it is, December in every year is always the toughest month as it is always more volatile than other months. Sideways range can be either tight or in a big range moving drastically from a high to a low. However, FCPO has dropped below 2600 and it seemed to be turning to the bears. Anyhow, let's start with FKLI now.


FKLI


It had been a bullish week for FKLI and analysts had been saying that KLCI will continue to reach higher heights. But, i'm not too sure about what they mentioned. Sometimes these news are "bought" to paint a pretty picture. Last Friday (20th Dec 2013), there was quite a drop from the new all time high on 19th Dec 2013. FKLI still is showing a bearish divergence between price and MACD-H. Immediate supports for FKLI would be 1828, 1814 and 1805. Breaching and closing below that would result for sellers to return. Last Friday's candle (20th Dec 2013) seemed to nullify most of the gains which started from 9th Dec 2013. Stochastics have crossed down from its resistance while MACD-H is shallowing down but still on the positivie side and MACD lines are seemed to be preparing to cross down. Any further downward movement should result MACD lines to cross. Not forgetting last Friday's candle had attracted a bigger volume on the down movement. This could spell for a turn of trend. 



FCPO



It had been a mixed movement for FCPO as sentiments are mixed. With exports down and worries about increasing in stock have hampered prices on the week before last from 10th Dec 2013. It was a typical "sell on rumour, buy on news" move. Prices had been volatile and it had beein the range of 2542 and 2600 for the entire week. The strengthening of USD had been a very strong factor that halted the FCPO drop and turned positive in the last two days. Nevertheless, on the long run FCPO is still on a bullish side but could be a turning point too as prices are below 12EMA and 22EMA and hovering around 32EMA. There is a candlestick that could mark that there would be a temporary rise in prices (marked in red box) and has shown that on last Thursday (19th Dec 2013) and Friday (20th Dec 2013). Stochastics also showing a slight cross up from stochastic support of 10 which could lift prices higher. MACD lines are still crossed down but currently leveling  a little which could return back to its signal line before making any further movements. Moreover, with strong USD and the nearing of the Chinese New Year could spur stronger imports from China which in turn could improve export data and reduce CPO stocks. Hence, the temporary rise. 2600 remains as the strong resistance while 2542 remains as the support. Breaching and closing above any of these levels will send prices up to 2620 or 2520 respectively. There was a higher volume on Friday's rise which could continue for this week. However, all eyes are on 1-25 Dec export data which will be released on 26th Dec 2013 as 25th Dec 2013 is Christmas. However, knowing the behavior of FCPO for that day would be better as there are mixed sentiments which could make FCPO really sideways and volatile. As it has breached 2600 previously, it somehow still is advisable to take short positions rather than long. Hence, it's best to plan out a strategy for this as it could go either way for now. 

Personal View:
FKLI: continue to buy on dips. however if market behaviors show weaknesses, take intraday shorts
FCPO: short term longs and watch for closes support and resistances.




Sunday, December 15, 2013

Supports and Resistances broken, and both markets are going the opposite way

It's been quite a run for both markets. However, FKLI seems to be parading upwards, being at the last month of the year, window dressing activities are most likely to happen. True enough it pushed the KLCI index to a new fresh high of 1847 and FKLI to 1843. However, there was a slight retracement after the recent break of the historical resistance and have set a new historical high due to external factors of where the US Feds on stimulus tapering. FCPO on the other hand had a twist of fate after a strong bullish movement on lower stocks, drop on Ringgit and also the raining season, had took a sharp drop after 2 weeks of range movements. Due to a drop in exports making stocks of CPO to rise. In addition to soy oil that has not been performing well also weighed down CPO as they compete for demands at the same regions.


FKLI



FKLI still shows that the uptrend may still be in tact. Candlesticks are all above the moving averages althought there was a drop on 12th Dec to normalcy of the moving average. However, FKLI is still trading on top of the trend line which shows on a long term, the movement is still upwards with small retracements. MACD lines and MACD-H are on the positive side and has not yet crossed down. Nevertheless, stochastics shows a short cross down from it's 90 resistance. Immediate supports would be 1827 and immediate resistances is 1834. This is for daily trades. Depending on how it opens on Monday, as of a longer term movement, it's best to take a long position on a longer term.


FCPO


FCPO on the other hand took a strong beating down on Friday, 13th Dec 2013. Call it Friday the 13th but it was a field day to short. Breaking crucial supports of 2625 on 12th Dec 2013 and 2600 on 13th Dec 2013 had sent FCPO on a bearish movement and closed at 2561. Immediate supports are at 2543 and the stronger support would be at 2500-2504. A big gap down shows that sellers have way overcome the buyers and they are currently in control now leaving an inverted hammer. The first sign of weakness was in 22nd Nov 2013 where there was a Dark Cloud Cover on the candlestick pattern which sent FCPO to trade on a range of 2600-2692. Opening below 2600 on Friday 13th Dec 2013 had showed that the bulls have lost their power. MACD-H and MACD Lines also are showing strong downward movements where MACD-H ticks lower into the negative zone while the MACD lines crossed down and spreading further apart. Stochastics had shown weakness starting from 9th Dec 2013 and 10th Dec 2013 where it has crossed downwards. With news of lower exports and higher CPO stocks, this could end the bullish movement in FCPO. Having said that, its still best to see how it opens on Monday to be sure of any movement but as for now, it seems that the sellers are ready to take over after a long term of bulls had been done.

Personal View:
FKLI: Buy on weakness
FCPO: Sell on strength

Friday, November 29, 2013

21 Ways Rich People Think Differently



A very crisp to the point on people who are aspiring to get rich and NO...it's not just getting married to one...it's about the mentality of being one.

World’s richest woman Gina Rinehart is enduring a media firestorm over an article in which she takes the “jealous” middle class to task for ‘drinking or smoking and socializing’ rather than working to earn their own fortune.
What if she has a point?

Steve Siebold, author of ‘How Rich People Think’ spent nearly three decades interviewing millionaires around the world to find out what separates them from everyone else.

It had little to do with money itself, he told Business Insider. It was about their mentality.

“[The middle class] tells people to be happy with what they have,” he said. “And on the whole, most people are steeped in fear when it comes to money.”

Average people think MONEY is the root of all evil. Rich people believe POVERTY is the root of all evil.

“The average person has been brainwashed to believe rich people are lucky or dishonest,” Siebold writes.

That’s why there’s a certain shame that comes along with “getting rich” in lower-income communities.

“The world class knows that while having money doesn’t guarantee happiness, it does make your life easier and more enjoyable.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people think selfishness is a vice. Rich people think selfishness is a virtue.

“The rich go out there and try to make themselves happy. They don’t try to pretend to save the world,” Siebold told Business Insider.

The problem is that middle class people see that as a negative––and it’s keeping them poor, he writes.

“If you’re not taking care of you, you’re not in a position to help anyone else. You can’t give what you don’t have.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people have a lottery mentality. Rich people have an action mentality.


“While the masses are waiting to pick the right numbers and praying for prosperity, the great ones are solving problems,” Siebold writes.

“The hero [middle class people] are waiting for may be God, government, their boss or their spouse. It’s the average person’s level of thinking that breeds this approach to life and living while the clock keeps ticking away.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people think the road to riches is paved with formal education. Rich people believe in acquiring specific knowledge.


“Many world-class performers have little formal education, and have amassed their wealth through the acquisition and subsequent sale of specific knowledge,” he writes.

“Meanwhile, the masses are convinced that master’s degrees and doctorates are the way to wealth, mostly because they are trapped in the linear line of thought that holds them back from higher levels of consciousness…The wealthy aren’t interested in the means, only the end.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people long for the good old days. Rich people dream of the future.

“Self-made millionaires get rich because they’re willing to bet on themselves and project their dreams, goals and ideas into an unknown future,” Siebold writes.

“People who believe their best days are behind them rarely get rich, and often struggle with unhappiness and depression.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people see money through the eyes of emotion. Rich people think about money logically.

“An ordinarily smart, well-educated and otherwise successful person can be instantly transformed into a fear-based, scarcity driven thinker whose greatest financial aspiration is to retire comfortably,” he writes.

“The world class sees money for what it is and what it’s not, through the eyes of logic. The great ones know money is a critical tool that presents options and opportunities.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people earn money doing things they don’t love. Rich people follow their passion.

“To the average person, it looks like the rich are working all the time,” Siebold says. “But one of the smartest strategies of the world class is doing what they love and finding a way to get paid for it.”

On the other hand, middle class take jobs they don’t enjoy “because they need the money and they’ve been trained in school and conditioned by society to live in a linear thinking world that equates earning money with physical or mental effort.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people set low expectations so they’re never disappointed. Rich people are up for the challenge.

“Psychologists and other mental health experts often advise people to set low expectations for their life to ensure they are not disappointed,” Siebold writes.

“No one would ever strike it rich and live their dreams without huge expectations.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people believe you have to DO something to get rich. Rich people believe you have to BE something to get rich.

“That’s why people like Donald Trump go from millionaire to nine billion dollars in debt and come back richer than ever,” he writes.

“While the masses are fixated on the doing and the immediate results of their actions, the great ones are learning and growing from every experience, whether it’s a success or a failure, knowing their true reward is becoming a human success machine that eventually produces outstanding results.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people believe you need money to make money. Rich people use other people’s money.

Linear thought might tell people to make money in order to earn more, but Siebold says the rich aren’t afraid to fund their future from other people’s pockets.

“Rich people know not being solvent enough to personally afford something is not relevant. The real question is, ‘Is this worth buying, investing in, or pursuing?’” he writes.

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people believe the markets are driven by logic and strategy. Rich people know they’re driven by emotion and greed.

Investing successfully in the stock market isn’t just about a fancy math formula.

“The rich know that the primary emotions that drive financial markets are fear and greed, and they factor this into all trades and trends they observe,” Siebold writes.

“This knowledge of human nature and its overlapping impact on trading give them strategic advantage in building greater wealth through leverage.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people live beyond their means. Rich people live below theirs.

“Here’s how to live below your means and tap into the secret wealthy people have used for centuries: Get rich so you can afford to,” he writes.

“The rich live below their means, not because they’re so savvy, but because they make so much money that they can afford to live like royalty while still having a king’s ransom socked away for the future.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people teach their children how to survive. Rich people teach their kids to get rich.

Rich parents teach their kids from an early age about the world of “haves” and “have-nots,” Siebold says. Even he admits many people have argued that he’s supporting the idea of elitism.

He disagrees.

“[People] say parents are teaching their kids to look down on the masses because they’re poor. This isn’t true,” he writes. “What they’re teaching their kids is to see the world through the eyes of objective reality––the way society really is.”

If children understand wealth early on, they’ll be more likely to strive for it later in life.

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people let money stress them out. Rich people find peace of mind in wealth.

The reason wealthy people earn more wealth is that they’re not afraid to admit that money can solve most problems, Siebold says.

“[The middle class] sees money as a never-ending necessary evil that must be endured as part of life. The world class sees money as the great liberator, and with enough of it, they are able to purchase financial peace of mind.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people would rather be entertained than educated. Rich people would rather be educated than entertained.

While the rich don’t put much stock in furthering wealth through formal education, they appreciate the power of learning long after college is over, Siebold says.

“Walk into a wealthy person’s home and one of the first things you’ll see is an extensive library of books they’ve used to educate themselves on how to become more successful,” he writes.

“The middle class reads novels, tabloids and entertainment magazines.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people think rich people are snobs. Rich people just want to surround themselves with like-minded people.

The negative money mentality poisoning the middle class is what keeps the rich hanging out with the rich, he says.

“[Rich people] can’t afford the messages of doom and gloom,” he writes. “This is often misinterpreted by the masses as snobbery.

Labeling the world class as snobs is another way the middle class finds to feel better bout themselves and their chosen path of mediocrity.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people focus on saving. Rich people focus on earning.

Siebold theorizes that the wealthy focus on what they’ll gain by taking risks, rather than how to save what they have.

“The masses are so focused on clipping coupons and living frugally they miss major opportunities,” he writes.

“Even in the midst of a cash flow crisis, the rich reject the nickle and dime thinking of the masses. They are the masters of focusing their mental energy where it belongs: on the big money.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people play it safe with money. Rich people know when to take risks.

“Leverage is the watchword of the rich,” Siebold writes.

“Every investor loses money on occasion, but the world class knows no matter what happens, they will aways be able to earn more.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people love to be comfortable. Rich people find comfort in uncertainty.

For the most part, it takes guts to take the risks necessary to make it as a millionaire––a challenge most middle class thinkers aren’t comfortable living with.

“Physical, psychological, and emotional comfort is the primary goal of the middle class mindset,” Siebold writes.

World class thinkers learn early on that becoming a millionaire isn’t easy and the need for comfort can be devastating. They learn to be comfortable while operating in a state of ongoing uncertainty.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people never make the connection between money and health. Rich people know money can save your life.

While the middle class squabbles over the virtues of Obamacare and their company’s health plan, the super wealthy are enrolled in a super elite “boutique medical care” association, Siebold says.

“They pay a substantial yearly membership fee that guarantees them 24-hour access to a private physician who only serves a small group of members,” he writes.

“Some wealthy neighborhoods have implemented this strategy and even require the physician to live in the neighborhood.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Average people believe they must choose between a great family and being rich. Rich people know you can have it all.


The idea the wealth must come at the expense of family time is nothing but a “cop-out”, Siebold says.

“The masses have been brainwashed to believe it’s an either/or equation,” he writes. “The rich know you can have anything you want if you approach the challenge with a mindset rooted in love and abundance.”

From Steve Siebold, author of “How Rich People Think”

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Optimism in FKLI but FCPO could be sliding down

Today was a strong movement in the FKLI market but in FCPO, trades were tepid as traders and investors waited for fresh cues and tomorrows export data from SGS and ITS. FKLI which is dependant on KLCI and KLCI was boosted by plantation counters especially KLK. But even fund managers are in a twilight zone on why only today plantation stocks made a strong boost.

FCPO on the other hand had tepid trade and investors/traders were mostly sidelined adopting a "see-first" view. In addition that the Ringgit gained on the greenback today, pressured the CPO prices further. Soy oil too did not help in pushing the CPO prices up as they are sliding down even as i write this.

Now for the technical side:

FKLI



A strong push in today's movement past 1800 and closed at 1809 showing that the bulls have . returned and is poised to test 1827 in the coming days trades. Stochastics show a very bullish move since 15th Nov 2013 and MACD-H also a shortening upwards. MACD lines have not crossed yet so there is still some uncertainty on the bulls. However, today's boost made today's candle sit above all 12, 22 and 32 EMA showing that bulls are back in control. However, it is near year end and there may be some window dressing activities that may come. Hence, FKLI could be supported and poised to rise further. 1815 would be the next target and has to be broken only it can push further heights.


FCPO



FCPO on the other hand isn't so perky. After many days of rise, it's taking a break now. A double top resistance can be seen at 2630 hampering prices from rising any further than that. MACD lines has crossed down slightly and also MACD-H had ticked down to 0 line but not yet negative region. Stochastics showing a lower high indicating that the bull movement will retrace further and also with stochastic showing a cross down making it less appetite for bulls. Today's movement was tepid as traders/investors are waiting for tomorrow's (20th Nov 2013) export data.  However, EMA's are still showing that bull movement may still be imminent but not for now. Especially with Soy bean oil dropping below 40 as we speak now and also the strengthening of the Ringgit. The furthest retracement that FCPO could go to would be 2506. However, anything breaching 2500 would be imminent downtrend from there. 2530 is probably the next target if FCPO opens with a gap down tomorrow. 

Friday, November 15, 2013

What are MEN looking for in a WOMAN

I found this article interesting about what guys want and this was written by a woman. Shockingly, it was right on the dot of what this woman said. I know its a little off topic but i think it's a good read up. :)





Many women nowadays are under the misconception that since guys have their pick of women, the majority will go for the leggy, perfect 10 supermodel types.


How wrong you are ladies. Sure, there will always be dudes out there who are modelizers, the ones that bat above their average and seek perfection. However, the majority of men out there are just looking for a normal, sane girl who likes to kick back with a beer and a bucket of fried chicken.


Quit starving yourself, put down the botox needle and stop trying to be someone that you’re not, because these are the qualities that men are really looking for in a girlfriend:


A 6 or a 7

Guys aren’t really looking for a 10. Why? Because any girl that’s a 10 is seriously high maintenance. Not only do they have to spend all their time lavishing her with compliments about her weight, her clothes, her hair and her overall appearance, but they also have to kiss her ass 24/7 because that’s what she is accustomed to.
These girls will only have sex in positions where they look good and are just looking for people to give them attention or praises. No point for these. 

Drama Free

It’s no surprise that guys hate drama, while most girls tend to be surrounded by that shit. Drama stems from gossip, backstabbing and general bitching – all things girls have a PhD in. While this is a commonly accepted phenomenon, no man wants to be with a girl who is all drama, all the time. If every day with a girl is like living on the set of a bad soap opera – ain’t nobody got time for that.

Sense of Humor

Guys enjoy a girl with a sense of humor, who’s not afraid to crack a dirty joke or even make fun of themselves.  I’m not saying that just being funny will send guys flocking to you – if that’s the case Kathy Griffin and Joan Rivers would probably have a man harem.

Women who come across as uptight or get too bothered by the little details are a turnoff to most men. They want a girl who they can bring out with their buddies, who can act like one of the boys, fitting in with their humor and who is sociable and fun to be around. Men want to relax during their downtime and not have to worry if one of his friends is going to say something that might offend his lady.

Communication

This one always surprises me. As women, we love to talk. We talk to our girlfriends constantly; we’re always on the phone to our mother, bitching to co-workers, complaining to our boss. WHY is it when it comes to relationships, these communication skills go straight out the window?!

How many times have girlfriends come to me complaining about how they’re pissed at their man because he’s fucked something up? And when I ask if they told their significant other why they’re pissed, the usual response is “No – he should already KNOW why I’m mad.”


Ah, are you dating a psychic? Can he read your mind? Unless you are, then here’s the kicker – no man is going to know you’re mad, or why you’re mad unless you actually tell him.


You want him to go down on you a certain way? Remember that most men are useless when it comes to eating girls out – vaginas are like a really hard Sudoku puzzle and no man can figure out the ideal combination. Some girls like two fingers here, one thumb in there and tongue going in a counterclockwise direction, other girls like a fist in once and just a knuckle in the other.


What I’m trying to say is that every girl is different, so if you want to enjoy sex and stop faking your orgasms, you need to communicate what you want.


Doesn’t Play Games

Playing hard to get is one thing, but play for too long and you’ll soon realize that you’ll end up being the only one in the game. Men don’t mind being the aggressor in a relationship; in fact, many men love the chase – but only to a certain extent.

They don’t want to feel like they’re being played and running in circles. You think ignoring calls and pretending you’re busy with guys you’re actually interested in makes them want you more and keeps them on their toes? Ah, no. It makes them think that you’re not interested and they’ll quickly move on.


If you like a guy, let him know! Seems simple, doesn’t it? Remember – guys aren’t very good at taking hints so make it obvious.

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Shaky times in the cash market but ecstatic on palm oil

In short, seems like there are so many factors and signs of instability in the markets throughout the world. There's rumors saying the Feds will not taper their stimulus, which then in turn dig a bigger hole again. Back here in Malaysia, rumors has it where foreign funds are withdrawing funds due to the Feds tapering. Well, i seriously am not sure how that could work but my suggestion is act first, before analyzing.

FKLI


It's a very clear bearish divergence between price and MACD-H. Something that i would not miss doing or following what the signals have shown. 25th Oct 2013 has shown a great bearish engulf which has indicated that it's time to turn short. My take is that today there would be another round of retracement as since there are rumors that foreign funds are backing out, that could lead a further plunge. 


FCPO 

FCPO is clearly on a bullish run. With fundamentals of weakening ringgit, bad weather, Haiyan typhoon, FCPO is poised to rise up further. Yesterdays long candle and breached 2600 resistance and also closing at 2599 could see a morning gap up and would be in search for 2630 level and then ultimately will most likely got for 2650, 2670, 2690 and 2700. As of current, with ringgit weakening and rebounds from soy bean oil, could lead CPO to follow the bull pack.